Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 5.056201 5.906845 6.823854 7.882028 9.065426 10.344123 11.826187
2025-04-13 3.480407 4.535842 5.769151 7.301314 9.137378 11.250389 13.848415
2025-04-20 2.754853 3.967230 5.489577 7.504536 10.061440 13.156647 17.141534
2025-04-27 2.352833 3.709086 5.524272 8.061050 11.437276 15.695340 21.380902
2025-05-04 1.996276 3.434359 5.478885 8.482509 12.654298 18.107927 25.621450
2025-05-11 1.608116 3.031154 5.183357 8.506251 13.316602 19.823227 29.053648
2025-05-18 1.246320 2.587998 4.751568 8.263450 13.558596 20.960329 31.755930
2025-05-25 0.974982 2.231211 4.388610 8.061618 13.813658 22.099249 34.489527
2025-06-01 0.788752 1.981311 4.153859 8.017200 14.275511 23.531169 37.674573
2025-06-08 0.634351 1.753500 3.916785 7.931011 14.648175 24.832785 40.712701
2025-06-15 0.570630 1.698975 3.980562 8.350488 15.838286 27.396958 45.680664
2025-06-22 0.475549 1.549376 3.840246 8.392725 16.408226 29.035689 49.335557
2025-06-29 0.359294 1.317198 3.505464 8.058214 16.344756 29.722971 51.648281
2025-07-06 0.263118 1.100385 3.160089 7.657138 16.126845 30.144643 53.566291
2025-07-13 0.232229 1.058775 3.190503 7.986738 17.210856 32.708186 58.903300
2025-07-20 0.223463 1.083813 3.377701 8.647219 18.927696 36.376824 66.102436
2025-07-27 0.205829 1.074028 3.480044 9.140486 20.364623 39.635781 72.754491
2025-08-03 0.170200 0.987259 3.378794 9.194701 20.987391 41.554159 77.321285
2025-08-10 0.129851 0.861727 3.153411 8.953620 21.030219 42.482897 80.310085
2025-08-17 0.099030 0.755851 2.956580 8.748707 21.120029 43.484195 83.436808
2025-08-24 0.078725 0.684020 2.838819 8.707400 21.520485 45.031438 87.499491
2025-08-31 0.061276 0.613342 2.708350 8.619034 21.815666 46.397106 91.292561
2025-09-07 0.056739 0.613052 2.796249 9.069037 23.234930 49.823747 98.657261